{"id":609,"date":"2019-06-24T23:43:09","date_gmt":"2019-06-24T14:43:09","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/forex-kei.com\/?p=609"},"modified":"2019-11-02T18:39:32","modified_gmt":"2019-11-02T09:39:32","slug":"weekly-forex-analysis-24-06-30-06-2019","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/forex-kei.com\/?p=609","title":{"rendered":"Weekly Forex Analysis 24\/06 &#8211; 30\/06\/2019"},"content":{"rendered":"<h2 class=\"p1\">A week of G20<\/h2>\n<p class=\"p1\">The material of this week is the &#8220;G20&#8221; starting on the 28th<span class=\"s1\">,<\/span> and it is not the &#8220;G20&#8221; itself<span class=\"s1\">,<\/span> but the diplomacy between the leaders held there<span class=\"s1\">,<\/span> that is<span class=\"s1\">,<\/span> the &#8220;top talks.<span class=\"s1\">\u201d<\/span> G20 itself has already been a mere formality and there seems to be little influence. The main topic would be how Japan&#8217;s chairman country warns against the rise of &#8220;protectionism&#8221; and prevents its progress<span class=\"s1\">,<\/span> and whether it can be reflected on the joint statement<span class=\"s1\">,<\/span> but it is nothing more than that.<\/p>\n<h2 class=\"p1\">Global economic impact of US-China summit<\/h2>\n<p class=\"p1\">Many market players are paying the most attention to the outcome of the &#8220;US-China Summit&#8221; that will be held. US-China trade talks remain suspended<span class=\"s1\">,<\/span> does not stand the prospect of resumption. In the meantime<span class=\"s1\">,<\/span> a battle to raise tariffs has begun in the US<span class=\"s1\">,<\/span> and it is inevitable that the world economy will slow down due to the effects of the US-China Trade War as time goes by. The IMF warned on 5th of May that if the US-China trade war intensifies<span class=\"s1\">,<\/span> the growth of global economy will be pushed down by 0.5 points in 2020<span class=\"s1\">,<\/span> China is down 1.0 points and the US is down 0.2 points.<\/p>\n<p class=\"p1\">There could be a possibility of finding a clue toward any of the solution by President Trump and President Xi Jinping meeting directly at US summit<span class=\"s1\">,<\/span> but in reality<span class=\"s1\">,<\/span> the market is not so optimistic. However<span class=\"s1\">,<\/span> looking at the history so far<span class=\"s1\">,<\/span> it is likely that Mr. Trump will almost put his words into practice<span class=\"s1\">,<\/span> and Chinese side seems to understand of the customs duty of 25% on Chinese products <span class=\"s1\">(<\/span>worth of $30 billion<span class=\"s1\">)<\/span> is not <span class=\"s1\">\u201c<\/span>mere a threat<span class=\"s1\">\u201d<\/span> as the public hearing has started. Therefore<span class=\"s1\">,<\/span> it is expected that President Xi Jinping not only showing a diplomatic smile<span class=\"s1\">,<\/span> but he faces the meeting with a certain amount of concessions determined. So one of the highlights would be whether the US will take the concession. While its ending result is unclear<span class=\"s1\">,<\/span> but at least it seems that agreement on the continuation of discussions between practitioners will be realistic. And how will the market respond<span class=\"s1\">?<\/span> It is also still under vail.<\/p>\n<h2 class=\"p1\">Watch out for USD downturn<\/h2>\n<p class=\"p1\">After the FOMC last week<span class=\"s1\">,<\/span> as the Fed&#8217;s rate cutting stance became clearer<span class=\"s1\">,<\/span> USDJPY has been moved at the 107 yen level last week. And interestingly<span class=\"s1\">,<\/span> even in the EURUSD<span class=\"s1\">,<\/span> where the economic slowdown has continued and the possibility of additional easing has emerged<span class=\"s1\">,<\/span> the dollar has been fallen to the upper 1.13 level for the first time in three months last weekend. If the dollar weakens sharply even with the EURUSD pair<span class=\"s1\">,<\/span> which is the most volumed currency pair in the world<span class=\"s1\">,<\/span> the influence is likely to extend to other currencies as well.<\/p>\n<p class=\"p1\">Watch out how much the US-China Summit will try the dollar&#8217;s downturn this week.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>A week of G20 The material of this week is the &#8220;G20&#8221; starting on the 28th, and it is not the &#8220;G20&#8221; itself, but the diplomacy between the leaders held there, that is, the &#8220;top talks.\u201d G20 itself has already been a mere formality and there seems to be little influence. The main topic would be how Japan&#8217;s chairman country warns against the rise of &#8220;protectionism&#8221; and prevents its progress, and whether it can be reflected on the joint statement, but it is nothing more than that. Global economic impact of US-China summit Many market players are paying the most attention to the outcome of the &#8220;US-China Summit&#8221; that will [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":610,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":"","_expiration-date-status":"saved","_expiration-date":0,"_expiration-date-type":"","_expiration-date-categories":[],"_expiration-date-options":[]},"categories":[1],"tags":[3,11,20,21,31,41,69],"class_list":["post-609","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-youtube-videos","tag-forex","tag-pickup","tag-weeklychartanalysis","tag-usdjpy","tag-eurusd","tag-forecasts","tag-us-china-trade-talks"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/forex-kei.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/609","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/forex-kei.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/forex-kei.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/forex-kei.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/forex-kei.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=609"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/forex-kei.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/609\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":611,"href":"https:\/\/forex-kei.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/609\/revisions\/611"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/forex-kei.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/610"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/forex-kei.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=609"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/forex-kei.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=609"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/forex-kei.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=609"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}